Pipeline Status
Monitoring prediction generation, model training, and result reconciliation.
Predictions
Pipeline running normally
Last batch: 10h 46m ago
Reconciliation
Pipeline running normally
Last run: 10h 52m ago
Prediction Batches
| Generated | Run | Predictions | Leagues | Kickoff Window |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026, 16:27(10h 46m ago) | c87fb802 | 2 | 1 | Mar 29 – Mar 29 |
| Mar 28, 2026, 17:33(1d 9h ago) | d942000b | 12 | 1 | Mar 28 – Mar 29 |
| Mar 28, 2026, 17:21(1d 9h ago) | 53bc9d59 | 12 | 1 | Mar 28 – Mar 29 |
| Mar 28, 2026, 16:13(1d 10h ago) | 91baf41a | 13 | 1 | Mar 28 – Mar 29 |
| Mar 28, 2026, 11:12(1d 16h ago) | 3797174a | 6 | 2 | Mar 31 – Mar 31 |
Model Training Runs
Mar 29, 2026, 16:27(10h 46m ago)2026-03-26-4c76e3b0acc 53.9%ll 0.9787feat 244
Probabilities are an ensemble of a learned rating prior, a score-distribution goal model, and a calibrated gradient boosting classifier.
Holdout Metrics
Training
26,919
Holdout
5,383
Accuracy
53.9%
Log Loss
0.9787
Brier
0.5820
RPS
0.2003
Value Bets
2878
Value ROI
-2.7%
vs Market (Bookmaker Odds)
Market Holdout
3,273
Market Log Loss
0.9838
Market Brier
0.5867
Ensemble Weights
| classifier | 0.760 |
| goal model | 0.240 |
| elo | 0.000 |
Model Parameters
| class bias | [object Object] |
| probability temperature | 0.9500 |
| elo home advantage | 40.0000 |
| goal scales | away: 1.010, home: 0.996 |
Run c87fb802-063b-49d7-966a-fe0857fc4d3e
Mar 28, 2026, 17:33(1d 9h ago)2026-03-26-4c76e3b0acc 53.5%ll 0.9796feat 244
Probabilities are an ensemble of a learned rating prior, a score-distribution goal model, and a calibrated gradient boosting classifier.
Holdout Metrics
Training
26,896
Holdout
5,379
Accuracy
53.5%
Log Loss
0.9796
Brier
0.5828
RPS
0.2002
Value Bets
2857
Value ROI
0.1%
vs Market (Bookmaker Odds)
Market Holdout
3,280
Market Log Loss
0.9852
Market Brier
0.5876
Ensemble Weights
| classifier | 0.580 |
| goal model | 0.420 |
| elo | 0.000 |
Model Parameters
| class bias | [object Object] |
| probability temperature | 0.9250 |
| elo home advantage | 40.0000 |
| goal scales | away: 1.014, home: 0.993 |
Run d942000b-7ef4-4c35-b5d7-5a75976fe4b3
Mar 28, 2026, 17:21(1d 9h ago)2026-03-26-4c76e3b0acc 53.5%ll 0.9796feat 244
Probabilities are an ensemble of a learned rating prior, a score-distribution goal model, and a calibrated gradient boosting classifier.
Holdout Metrics
Training
26,896
Holdout
5,379
Accuracy
53.5%
Log Loss
0.9796
Brier
0.5828
RPS
0.2002
Value Bets
2857
Value ROI
0.1%
vs Market (Bookmaker Odds)
Market Holdout
3,280
Market Log Loss
0.9852
Market Brier
0.5876
Ensemble Weights
| classifier | 0.580 |
| goal model | 0.420 |
| elo | 0.000 |
Model Parameters
| class bias | [object Object] |
| probability temperature | 0.9250 |
| elo home advantage | 40.0000 |
| goal scales | away: 1.014, home: 0.993 |
Run 53bc9d59-f0f4-4170-99fa-fe2932e621e4
Mar 28, 2026, 16:13(1d 10h ago)2026-03-26-4c76e3b0acc 53.4%ll 0.9794feat 244
Probabilities are an ensemble of a learned rating prior, a score-distribution goal model, and a calibrated gradient boosting classifier.
Holdout Metrics
Training
26,896
Holdout
5,379
Accuracy
53.4%
Log Loss
0.9794
Brier
0.5827
RPS
0.2003
Value Bets
2831
Value ROI
0.7%
vs Market (Bookmaker Odds)
Market Holdout
3,280
Market Log Loss
0.9852
Market Brier
0.5876
Ensemble Weights
| classifier | 0.620 |
| goal model | 0.380 |
| elo | 0.000 |
Model Parameters
| class bias | [object Object] |
| probability temperature | 0.9250 |
| elo home advantage | 40.0000 |
| goal scales | away: 1.014, home: 0.993 |
Run 91baf41a-1643-40d8-9b3e-5fef6dc4e3cf
Mar 28, 2026, 11:12(1d 16h ago)2026-03-26-4c76e3b0acc 54.4%ll 0.9733feat 244
Probabilities are an ensemble of a learned rating prior, a score-distribution goal model, and a calibrated gradient boosting classifier.
Holdout Metrics
Training
20,850
Holdout
4,170
Accuracy
54.4%
Log Loss
0.9733
Brier
0.5786
RPS
0.1979
Value Bets
3048
Value ROI
-4.9%
vs Market (Bookmaker Odds)
Market Holdout
3,508
Market Log Loss
0.9835
Market Brier
0.5865
Ensemble Weights
| goal model | 0.760 |
| classifier | 0.240 |
| elo | 0.000 |
Model Parameters
| class bias | [object Object] |
| probability temperature | 0.9250 |
| elo home advantage | 40.0000 |
| goal scales | away: 0.984, home: 0.982 |
Run 3797174a-4e6c-4a66-9c25-84183a2c03e1
Reconciliation Runs
| Date | Resolved | Accuracy | Log Loss | Brier | ROI (All) | ROI (Rec) | +CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026, 16:21(10h 52m ago) | 34 | 38.2% | 1.110 | 0.681 | -24.8% | -100.0% | 0.0% |