Rolln Rankings

Teams ranked by xG-Elo — a rating system that blends actual results with expected goals. Attack and defense grades from our Dixon-Coles model. AI Edge shows where our model disagrees with the betting market.

Bundesliga

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#TEAMROLLN RATINGATKDEFFORMAI EDGE
1Bayern München1670A+A
2Borussia Dortmund1578AA+
3Bayer Leverkusen1569A-A-
4RB Leipzig1558A-A-
5VfB Stuttgart1554A+B+
61899 Hoffenheim1545B+C+
7SC Freiburg1534BC+
8FSV Mainz 051521CB
9SC Paderborn 071503FA+
101. FC Köln1492B-D
11Union Berlin1491C-C
12FC Augsburg1486C+D+
13Werder Bremen1472DC-
14Hamburger SV1464DB-
151. FC Heidenheim1462C-F
16Eintracht Frankfurt1460BD
17VfL Wolfsburg1452C+D-
18Borussia Mönchengladbach1447D+B
19FC St. Pauli1430D-C-
#TEAMROLLN RATINGATKDEFFORMAI EDGE
1Barcelona1632A+A
2Real Madrid1608A+A+
3Atletico Madrid1574AA-
4Rayo Vallecano1556DA
5Villarreal1542AB
6Real Betis1534B+B+
7Valencia1516B-C+
8Celta Vigo1512B+B+
9Alaves1500CC-
10Real Sociedad1496A-F
11Athletic Club1492C-D
12Girona1491D-B-
13Getafe1487D-A+
14Mallorca1486B-C
15Levante1484C+D-
16Espanyol1478D+C
17Sevilla1472CD-
18Osasuna1467D+B-
19Elche1463BD+
20Oviedo1441FD+
#TEAMROLLN RATINGATKDEFFORMAI EDGE
1Paris Saint Germain1657A+A+
2Lille1565BA
3Lens1561AA
4Monaco1553A-D+
5Lyon1544BA-+7.0%
6Rennes1542B+C-
7Marseille1536AB
8Strasbourg1523B+C+
9Toulouse1518C+B-
10Stade Brestois 291508CD+
11Rodez1507FA+
12RED Star FC 931494A+F
13Auxerre1492C-B+
14Paris FC1487C+B
15Lorient1479B-C
16Saint Etienne1470D-D-
17Le Havre1468D+B+
18Nice1467C-D
19Nantes1460DC-
20Angers1430D-C+
21Metz1414D+D-

Major League Soccer

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#TEAMROLLN RATINGATKDEFFORMAI EDGE
1Inter Miami1681A+C--13.6%
2Los Angeles FC1654A-A+-9.3%
3Vancouver Whitecaps1623A+A++5.3%
4San Jose Earthquakes1582A-A-11.0%
5FC Dallas1569AB--14.3%
6Minnesota United FC1557FA-13.0%
7Portland Timbers1549AD+-8.4%
8New York City FC1549B-B++5.7%
9Chicago Fire1534BB+12.1%
10Nashville SC1532B+A+-2.9%
11Charlotte1523C+C+-15.1%
12FC Cincinnati1512A+F+13.5%
13Philadelphia Union1511D+D+4.3%
14Seattle Sounders1505DA-+2.7%
15Houston Dynamo1501C+B-9.8%
16Real Salt Lake1498BB--7.3%
17New York Red Bulls1498C-D--8.8%
18St. Louis City1495CB+-2.3%
19Colorado Rapids1477B-B+-3.4%
20Columbus Crew1476D+C+3.9%
21Orlando City SC1473B+D-+2.3%
22New England Revolution1466C+A-
23Los Angeles Galaxy1453D+C-+10.3%
24Atlanta United FC1453FD+-6.2%
25CF Montreal1436D-D+
26San Diego1422B+C++8.3%
27DC United1409CC+1.1%
28Toronto FC1408DC+
29Austin1394C-D-5.1%
30Sporting Kansas City1343D-F-1.5%

Premier League

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#TEAMROLLN RATINGATKDEFFORMAI EDGE
1Arsenal1659AA+
2Liverpool1597AC-
3Manchester City1595A+A+
4Bournemouth1569A-C
5Manchester United1553A+B+
6Newcastle1549B-D+
7Aston Villa1542B+B
8Brighton1536B-A
9Crystal Palace1536D-C+
10Leeds1535CD+
11Brentford1520BB-
12Chelsea1520B+C
13Nottingham Forest1516C+A-
14Tottenham1503D+D
15Fulham1500D+B+
16Everton1496CB-
17West Ham1484C-D-
18Wolves1421FD-
19Burnley1420D-F
#TEAMROLLN RATINGATKDEFFORMAI EDGE
1Inter1593A+B+
2AS Roma1580AA+
3AC Milan1573B+B+
4Como1572A+A+
5Juventus1563AA
6Napoli1554A-A-
7Atalanta1554B+A
8Lazio1526CB
9Fiorentina1514CC
10Bologna1504BB-
11Udinese1495B-C+
12Genoa1478C-C-
13Sassuolo1474B-D+
14Torino1469C+D-
15Parma1469D-B-
16Cagliari1468D+D+
17Cremonese1467D+D
18Lecce1461DC
19Pisa1446D-F
20Hellas Verona1427FD-
How are Rolln Rankings computed?

Each team's Rolln Rating is an xG-Enhanced Elo score. After every match, the rating updates based on a 50/50 blend of actual goal margin and expected goals (xG). Lucky wins barely move the needle; dominant performances that the scoreboard missed are properly rewarded.

  • Attack / Defense grades — derived from our Dixon-Coles model. Attack (alpha) and defense (beta) parameters are extracted per team and normalized to letter grades (A+ through F) based on league percentiles.
  • Form — last 5 match results (Win / Draw / Loss).
  • AI Edge— the divergence between our xG-Elo implied strength and the betting market's implied strength. Positive means our model rates the team higher than the market does.

Ratings update daily as part of our prediction pipeline. Data covers all supported leagues with the active prediction data pipeline.