World CupMon, Jul 6 at 6:00 PM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet won
USA
1-4
Belgium
20%
our prediction
20%
DRAW
60%
our prediction
PREDICTIONAway(1-1)correct
+27% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST TIMELINE
3 snapshotsLineup watch
60%
on Away+0 since opening
H-1
D-0
A+1

away travel burden higher (+7051 km); away altitude adjustment is tougher (+142 m); away shot volume edge (+8.60)

GOALS (H)
1.0
GOALS (A)
2.0
OVER 2.5
58%
BTTS
55%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE67%0%XG0.60.8BTTS53%53%ACCURACY57%43%VALUE WIN%50%50%VALUE ROI+8.95u+9.21uUSABelgium
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
2/0/1RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
67%WIN RATE-
8GOALS SCORED0
4GOALS CONCEDED0
1.16AVG XG (HOME)
AVG XG (AWAY)1.59
53%BTTS RATE53%
57%MODEL ACCURACY43%
1/2VALUE BETS1/2
+8.95uVALUE UNIT P&L+9.21u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

Mixed / neutral+0.0812 items

Signal

Match moodMixed / neutral+0.08

Belgium

Keyword heuristic fallback.

AI readout

FIFA has ruled a request from the Belgium federation for an explanation of Folarin Balogun's suspended red card as "inadmissible," meaning they have no grounds to appeal the decision and the U.S. forward remains cleared to play against them Monday.

01

FIFA has ruled suspended for

02

suspend USMNT striker available for

03

UEFA: FIFA crossed 'red line' on Balogun ban UEFA have strongly criticized FIFA's decision to suspend USMNT striker Folarin Balogun's red card, thus allowing the United States s...

Source rail

Updated Jul 6, 12:38 PM
Open full team read and source list

USA

Mixed / neutral0.00

Belgium

Mixed / neutral+0.08

Keyword heuristic fallback.

RECENT FORM
USA
1W 0D 4L
Belgium
2W 2D 1L
HEAD TO HEAD
USAvsBelgium1-4
USAvsBelgium2-5
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+26.8%
Kelly Units
5.00
ANALYSIS

away travel burden higher (+7051 km); away altitude adjustment is tougher (+142 m); away shot volume edge (+8.60)

MARKET DISAGREEMENT

Model prefers Away while the market leans Home; main drivers: away travel burden higher (+7051 km), away altitude adjustment is tougher (+142 m).

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