Liga MXFri, Jul 31 at 7:00 PM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Puebla
1-1
Guadalajara Chivas
19%
our prediction
20%
DRAW62%
our prediction
PREDICTIONAway(1-2)— actual: Draw
+5% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST TIMELINE
2 snapshotsMarket read
62%
on Away+0 since openingH-1
D-1
A+2
away travel burden higher (+573 km); away altitude adjustment is tougher (+575 m); away shot volume edge (+14.49)
GOALS (H)
1.2
GOALS (A)
1.9
OVER 2.5
60%
BTTS
59%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
1/1/1RECORD (W/D/L)1/1/1
33%WIN RATE33%
3GOALS SCORED2
3GOALS CONCEDED3
1.27AVG XG (HOME)2.04
0.88AVG XG (AWAY)1.58
55%BTTS RATE56%
29%MODEL ACCURACY42%
1/6VALUE BETS3/10
-2.30uVALUE UNIT P&L-7.59u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Puebla
2W 1D 2L
Guadalajara Chivas
2W 2D 1L
HEAD TO HEAD
| PueblavsGuadalajara Chivas | 1-1 |
| Guadalajara ChivasvsPuebla | 5-0 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+5.4%
Kelly Units
2.14
ANALYSIS
away travel burden higher (+573 km); away altitude adjustment is tougher (+575 m); away shot volume edge (+14.49)
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