Liga MXSun, May 17 at 7:00 PM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet won
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1-0
CF Pachuca
43%
our prediction
25%
DRAW32%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)— correct
+1% edgeM · Medium
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome43%
|H 43%D 25%A 32%
|xG 1.6-1.4
|+1.1%on Home
historical analogs still point to a decisive result (+0.08); away shot volume edge (+7.00); away continuity edge (+0.15)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.6
GOALS (A)
1.4
OVER 2.5
57%
BTTS
60%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
1/0/1RECORD (W/D/L)1/0/1
50%WIN RATE50%
2GOALS SCORED4
4GOALS CONCEDED2
1.83AVG XG (HOME)1.86
1.23AVG XG (AWAY)1.40
55%BTTS RATE57%
50%MODEL ACCURACY50%
3/9VALUE BETS4/9
-4.56uVALUE UNIT P&L+5.61u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3W 1D 1L
CF Pachuca
2W 0D 3L
HEAD TO HEAD
| U.N.A.M. - PumasvsCF Pachuca | 1-0 |
| CF PachucavsU.N.A.M. - Pumas | 1-0 |
| PachucavsU.N.A.M. - Pumas | 0-2 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Home
Edge
+1.1%
Kelly Units
0.00
ANALYSIS
historical analogs still point to a decisive result (+0.08); away shot volume edge (+7.00); away continuity edge (+0.15)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Gyori ETO FC
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
1-0
Home Win
43%28% D29%
Vardar Skopje vs KuPS
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
0-2
Away Win
44%27% D29%
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
3-1
Home Win
40%27% D33%
Kauno Žalgiris vs Drita
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
1-1
Draw
48%27% D24%
Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
1-1
Draw
43%28% D29%