FriendliesSat, Mar 28 at 1:30 PM

USA

36%
VS
32%
DRAW

Belgium

32%
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)
+7% edgeL · Low
GOALS (H)
1.4
GOALS (A)
1.2
OVER 2.5
46%
BTTS
51%
TEAM FORM (LAST 5)
USA
1W 1D 3L
Belgium
2W 2D 1L
HEAD-TO-HEAD
USAvsBelgium2-5
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+6.5%
Kelly Units
2.02
ANALYSIS

historical analogs still point to a decisive result (+0.01); home continuity edge (+0.20)

MARKET DISAGREEMENT

Model prefers Home while the market leans Away; main drivers: historical analogs still point to a decisive result (+0.01), home continuity edge (+0.20).

No fixture news yet.

SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Hungary vs Slovenia
Friendlies · Mar 2026
1-0
Home Win
39%30% D31%
Haiti vs Tunisia
Friendlies · Mar 2026
0-1
Away Win
38%32% D30%
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