MLSSat, May 16 at 6:30 PM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Austin
1-2
Sporting Kansas City
58%
our prediction
24%
DRAW
17%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(2-0)actual: Away
+4% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday read
PickHome58%
|
H 58%D 24%A 17%
|
xG 2.1-1.0
|
+4.2%on Draw

historical analogs lean home (+0.41); home venue split edge (+1.40); historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.47)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
2.1
GOALS (A)
1.0
OVER 2.5
59%
BTTS
55%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE20%21%XG1.31.0BTTS54%53%ACCURACY30%67%VALUE WIN%22%13%VALUE ROI-7.87u-7.31uAustinSporting Kansas City
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
3/5/7RECORD (W/D/L)3/2/9
20%WIN RATE21%
19GOALS SCORED14
31GOALS CONCEDED36
1.53AVG XG (HOME)1.04
0.97AVG XG (AWAY)0.88
54%BTTS RATE53%
30%MODEL ACCURACY67%
2/9VALUE BETS1/8
-7.87uVALUE UNIT P&L-7.31u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

Mixed / neutral+0.1412 items

Signal

Match moodMixed / neutral+0.14

Austin

The article questions whether Austin FC is 'the most disappointing team in MLS this season', indicating a negative perception of their current performance.

Sporting Kansas City

The team secured a 'comeback victory' with 'late goals' from García and Afrifa, indicating a strong and resilient performance.

AI readout

WATCH: García, Afrifa's late goals spark Sporting Kansas City comeback victory MLSsoccer.com

01

Sporting Kansas City demonstrated strong resilience and offensive capability by securing a comeback victory with late goals.

02

Sporting Kansas City secured a victory over Austin FC with a 2-1 scoreline, demonstrating their ability to win on the road.

03

The article's questioning of Austin FC's performance as 'most disappointing' suggests a negative outlook on their current form, which could be a weak signal for their upcoming f...

Open full team read and source list

Austin

Bearish lean-0.15

The article questions whether Austin FC is 'the most disappointing team in MLS this season', indicating a negative perception of their current performance.

Sporting Kansas City

Bullish lean+0.33

The team secured a 'comeback victory' with 'late goals' from García and Afrifa, indicating a strong and resilient performance.

RECENT FORM
Austin
1W 1D 3L
Sporting Kansas City
2W 1D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
AustinvsSporting Kansas City1-2
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+4.2%
Kelly Units
1.18
ANALYSIS

historical analogs lean home (+0.41); home venue split edge (+1.40); historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.47)

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