MLSSat, May 16 at 5:30 PM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
DC United
1-1
St. Louis City
43%
our prediction
26%
DRAW
31%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)— actual: Draw
+3% edgeM · Medium
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday read
PickHome43%
|
H 43%D 26%A 31%
|
xG 1.5-1.2
|
+3.0%on Home

historical analogs lean home (+0.47); historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.42)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
1.5
GOALS (A)
1.2
OVER 2.5
50%
BTTS
54%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE27%29%XG1.21.1BTTS53%54%ACCURACY40%22%VALUE WIN%44%25%VALUE ROI+7.94u-2.89uDC UnitedSt. Louis City
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
4/6/5RECORD (W/D/L)4/4/6
27%WIN RATE29%
21GOALS SCORED16
25GOALS CONCEDED20
1.43AVG XG (HOME)1.15
1.04AVG XG (AWAY)1.14
53%BTTS RATE54%
40%MODEL ACCURACY22%
4/9VALUE BETS2/8
+7.94uVALUE UNIT P&L-2.89u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

→Mixed / neutral0.004 items

Signal

Match mood→Mixed / neutral0.00

DC United

→

The article only reports a 1-1 draw, which is a neutral outcome for D.C.

St. Louis City

→

The article only reports a 1-1 draw, which is a neutral outcome.

AI readout

Highlights: D.C. United 1-1 St.

01

The article is a highlight title reporting a past MLS match between D.C.

02

United and St.

03

Louis CITY SC, which ended in a 1-1 draw.

Source rail

Updated May 17, 12:02 AM
Highlights: D.C. United 1-1 St. Louis CITY SC (MLS) - OneFootball

news.google.com · May 16, 7:45 PM

→
Resumen: D.C. United 1-1 St. Louis CITY SC (MLS) - OneFootball

news.google.com · May 16, 7:45 PM

→
Highlights MLS: D.C. United 1-1 St. Louis CITY SC - OneFootball

news.google.com · May 16, 7:44 PM

→
Preview | St. Louis CITY FC vs. LAFC - 2026 MLS Season - Los Angeles Football Club

news.google.com · May 12, 11:57 AM

→
RECENT FORM
DC United
2W 3D 0L
St. Louis City
1W 1D 3L
HEAD TO HEAD
DC UnitedvsSt. Louis City1-1
VALUE BET
Outcome
Home
Edge
+3.0%
Kelly Units
0.85
ANALYSIS

historical analogs lean home (+0.47); historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.42)

SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul
Liga MX · May 2026
1-2
Away Win
50%26% D24%
CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Liga MX · May 2026
1-0
Home Win
50%25% D25%
Dunfermline vs Partick
Premiership · May 2026
1-1
Draw
36%29% D35%
Southampton vs Middlesbrough
Championship · May 2026
2-1
Home Win
47%23% D30%
Middlesbrough vs Southampton
Championship · May 2026
0-0
Draw
45%29% D27%
← Back to today's picks