Primeira LigaSat, May 16 at 1:30 PM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet lost
Sporting CP
3-0
GIL Vicente
76%
our prediction
15%
DRAW9%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(2-0)— correct
+3% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome76%
|H 76%D 15%A 9%
|xG 2.6-1.0
|+2.6%on Away
home Elo edge (+228); away travel burden higher (+8126 km); home recent xG balance edge (+1.34)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
2.6
GOALS (A)
1.0
OVER 2.5
69%
BTTS
58%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
-WIN RATE-
0GOALS SCORED0
0GOALS CONCEDED0
2.16AVG XG (HOME)1.66
1.76AVG XG (AWAY)1.41
55%BTTS RATE53%
50%MODEL ACCURACY29%
2/9VALUE BETS2/6
+4.42uVALUE UNIT P&L+3.99u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Sporting CP
1W 2D 2L
GIL Vicente
2W 1D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
| Sporting CPvsGIL Vicente | 3-0 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+2.6%
Kelly Units
0.70
ANALYSIS
home Elo edge (+228); away travel burden higher (+8126 km); home recent xG balance edge (+1.34)
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