Primeira LigaSat, May 16 at 11:00 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Casa Pia
1-1
Rio Ave
61%
our prediction
22%
DRAW17%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)— actual: Draw
+2% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome61%
|H 61%D 22%A 17%
|xG 1.8-1.2
|+2.1%on Home
away travel burden higher (+7986 km); away venue split edge (+1.20); historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.08)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.8
GOALS (A)
1.2
OVER 2.5
57%
BTTS
59%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
6/12/16RECORD (W/D/L)8/12/14
18%WIN RATE24%
31GOALS SCORED35
57GOALS CONCEDED57
1.22AVG XG (HOME)1.36
0.97AVG XG (AWAY)1.16
52%BTTS RATE54%
40%MODEL ACCURACY25%
1/8VALUE BETS1/7
-4.50uVALUE UNIT P&L+0.98u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Casa Pia
2W 2D 1L
Rio Ave
1W 3D 1L
HEAD TO HEAD
| Casa PiavsRio Ave | 1-1 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Home
Edge
+2.1%
Kelly Units
0.86
ANALYSIS
away travel burden higher (+7986 km); away venue split edge (+1.20); historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.08)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
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