Primeira LigaMon, May 11 at 1:15 PM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet won
Benfica
2-2
SC Braga
66%
our prediction
21%
DRAW14%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(2-0)— actual: Draw
+1% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome66%
|H 66%D 21%A 14%
|xG 2.1-0.9
|+1.0%on Draw
away travel burden higher (+8116 km); home recent xG balance edge (+1.65); home shot volume edge (+6.80)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
2.1
GOALS (A)
0.9
OVER 2.5
58%
BTTS
53%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
3/0/5RECORD (W/D/L)16/11/7
38%WIN RATE47%
10GOALS SCORED64
12GOALS CONCEDED36
2.45AVG XG (HOME)1.97
1.90AVG XG (AWAY)1.51
56%BTTS RATE52%
44%MODEL ACCURACY44%
2/7VALUE BETS2/8
-3.41uVALUE UNIT P&L-3.55u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Benfica
2W 2D 1L
SC Braga
1W 3D 1L
HEAD TO HEAD
| BenficavsSC Braga | 2-2 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+1.0%
Kelly Units
0.50
ANALYSIS
away travel burden higher (+8116 km); home recent xG balance edge (+1.65); home shot volume edge (+6.80)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
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