LaLigaThu, May 14 at 1:30 PM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet lost
Real Madrid
2-0
Oviedo
73%
our prediction
17%
DRAW
10%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(2-0)correct
+1% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday read
PickHome73%
|
H 73%D 17%A 10%
|
xG 2.3-1.0
|
+1.5%on Away

home Elo edge (+283); home continuity edge (+0.73); home season form edge (+1.29 PPG)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
2.3
GOALS (A)
1.0
OVER 2.5
63%
BTTS
56%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE63%16%XG1.81.1BTTS57%51%ACCURACY70%25%VALUE WIN%22%0%VALUE ROI+1.22u-7.41uReal MadridOviedo
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
5/0/3RECORD (W/D/L)6/11/21
63%WIN RATE16%
21GOALS SCORED26
12GOALS CONCEDED60
2.16AVG XG (HOME)1.20
1.48AVG XG (AWAY)0.92
57%BTTS RATE51%
70%MODEL ACCURACY25%
2/9VALUE BETS0/7
+1.22uVALUE UNIT P&L-7.41u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

Bearish lean-0.339 items

Signal

Match moodBearish lean-0.33

Real Madrid

The article indicates significant internal issues for Real Madrid, with a high-profile player like Kylian Mbappé being benched, publicly demoted to 'fourth-choice forward' by a...

Oviedo

The article mentions Oviedo only as Real Madrid's opponent and provides no specific information or sentiment regarding their team, performance, or players.

AI readout

Kylian Mbappé said Thursday Álvaro Arbeloa told him he was Real Madrid's "fourth-choice forward" after being benched and then whistled by fans.

01

Kylian Mbappé's status within Real Madrid appears to have diminished, as he was benched and reportedly told he is the 'fourth-choice forward'.

02

Real Madrid's striker hierarchy is in question, with Kylian Mbappé reportedly relegated to fourth choice.

03

The public disagreement and internal conflict surrounding Kylian Mbappé's role at Real Madrid could serve as a distraction and potentially affect team morale and focus for upcom...

Open full team read and source list

Real Madrid

Bearish lean-0.33

The article indicates significant internal issues for Real Madrid, with a high-profile player like Kylian Mbappé being benched, publicly demoted to 'fourth-choice forward' by a...

Oviedo

Bearish lean-0.27

The article mentions Oviedo only as Real Madrid's opponent and provides no specific information or sentiment regarding their team, performance, or players.

RECENT FORM
Real Madrid
2W 0D 3L
Oviedo
1W 1D 3L
HEAD TO HEAD
Real MadridvsOviedo2-0
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+1.5%
Kelly Units
0.50
ANALYSIS

home Elo edge (+283); home continuity edge (+0.73); home season form edge (+1.29 PPG)

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