LaLigaWed, May 13 at 1:30 PM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Alaves
1-0
Barcelona
21%
our prediction
24%
DRAW
55%
our prediction
PREDICTIONAway(1-1)actual: Home
+8% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday read
PickAway55%
|
H 21%D 24%A 55%
|
xG 1.2-1.9
|
+7.9%on Away

away Elo edge (+338); historical analogs lean away (+0.44); away venue split edge (+1.40)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
1.2
GOALS (A)
1.9
OVER 2.5
58%
BTTS
58%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE29%63%XG1.22.2BTTS53%57%ACCURACY38%82%VALUE WIN%0%56%VALUE ROI-8.04u+0.18uAlavesBarcelona
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
11/10/17RECORD (W/D/L)5/1/2
29%WIN RATE63%
44GOALS SCORED22
56GOALS CONCEDED14
1.28AVG XG (HOME)2.39
1.15AVG XG (AWAY)1.96
53%BTTS RATE57%
38%MODEL ACCURACY82%
0/7VALUE BETS5/9
-8.04uVALUE UNIT P&L+0.18u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

Bullish lean+0.202 items

Signal

Match moodBullish lean+0.20

Alaves

Alaves secured a 1-0 victory over Barcelona, which is a positive outcome for the team.

Barcelona

Barcelona lost 1-0 to Alaves, ending their 100-point bid, and a quote indicates disappointment about the result.

AI readout

Barcelona clinched its second straight league title on Sunday with a 2-0 win over rival Real Madrid at home and needed three wins in its last three matches to reach 100 points. “A little bit disappointed about the result, we all wanted to win today,” Barcelon…

01

This article discusses a Spanish league match between Barcelona and Alaves and provides no relevant signals for MLS fixture modeling.

02

The article reports on Lionel Messi's multi-million investment in Barcelona, highlighting the growth of his financial empire and its connection to the club.

03

Alaves secured a 1-0 victory over Barcelona, which is a positive outcome for the team.

RECENT FORM
Alaves
3W 1D 1L
Barcelona
1W 0D 4L
HEAD TO HEAD
AlavesvsBarcelona1-0
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+7.9%
Kelly Units
3.51
ANALYSIS

away Elo edge (+338); historical analogs lean away (+0.44); away venue split edge (+1.40)

SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Atlas vs Cruz Azul
Liga MX · May 2026
2-3
Away Win
20%26% D54%
Falkirk vs Rangers
Premiership · May 2026
2-5
Away Win
25%21% D54%
Motherwell vs Celtic
Premiership · May 2026
2-3
Away Win
18%22% D59%
Hibernian vs Celtic
Premiership · May 2026
1-2
Away Win
23%25% D52%
Kosovo vs Türkiye
World Cup - Qualification Europe · Mar 2026
0-1
Away Win
23%21% D57%