LaLigaSat, May 9 at 10:30 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Atletico Madrid
0-1
Celta Vigo
51%
our prediction
25%
DRAW
24%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-0)actual: Away
+7% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday read
PickHome51%
|
H 51%D 25%A 24%
|
xG 1.6-1.1
|
+6.8%on Home

home coach stability edge (+4923 days); home Elo edge (+107); away attacking availability edge (+0.68)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
1.6
GOALS (A)
1.1
OVER 2.5
52%
BTTS
53%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE50%37%XG1.31.4BTTS55%52%ACCURACY36%38%VALUE WIN%45%43%VALUE ROI+5.97u-0.43uAtletico MadridCelta Vigo
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
4/1/3RECORD (W/D/L)14/12/12
50%WIN RATE37%
17GOALS SCORED53
15GOALS CONCEDED48
1.40AVG XG (HOME)1.78
1.30AVG XG (AWAY)1.05
55%BTTS RATE52%
36%MODEL ACCURACY38%
5/11VALUE BETS3/7
+5.97uVALUE UNIT P&L-0.43u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

Bearish lean-0.451 items

Signal

Match moodBearish lean-0.45

Atletico Madrid

Key midfielder Johnny Cardoso has suffered a right ankle sprain, ruling him out for an estimated five weeks.

Celta Vigo

The article does not mention Celta Vigo, so there is no direct sentiment impact from this news.

AI readout

United States midfielder Johnny Cardoso has sprained his right ankle five weeks before the World Cup, his club Atlético Madrid said on Thursday.

01

Atletico Madrid will be without midfielder Johnny Cardoso, which may affect their midfield composition, depth, and potentially their defensive or creative output depending on hi...

02

Johnny Cardoso Injured for Atletico Madrid

03

Atletico Madrid will be without midfielder Johnny Cardoso due to an ankle sprain, which could weaken their midfield for the upcoming fixture.

Source rail

Updated May 7, 11:48 PM
RECENT FORM
Atletico Madrid
2W 0D 3L
Celta Vigo
2W 1D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
Atletico MadridvsCelta Vigo0-1
VALUE BET
Outcome
Home
Edge
+6.8%
Kelly Units
2.76
ANALYSIS

home coach stability edge (+4923 days); home Elo edge (+107); away attacking availability edge (+0.68)

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