LaLigaSun, May 10 at 8:15 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet won
Athletic Club
0-1
Valencia
53%
our prediction
26%
DRAW22%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-0)— actual: Away
+3% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome53%
|H 53%D 26%A 22%
|xG 1.7-1.1
|+2.8%on Away
home continuity edge (+0.41); historical analogs lean away (+0.05); home coach stability edge (+1088 days)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.7
GOALS (A)
1.1
OVER 2.5
54%
BTTS
55%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
2/2/4RECORD (W/D/L)13/10/15
25%WIN RATE34%
9GOALS SCORED46
14GOALS CONCEDED55
1.45AVG XG (HOME)1.38
1.28AVG XG (AWAY)1.22
53%BTTS RATE53%
38%MODEL ACCURACY38%
3/7VALUE BETS3/7
+2.50uVALUE UNIT P&L+15.36u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Athletic Club
2W 1D 2L
Valencia
3W 1D 1L
HEAD TO HEAD
| Athletic ClubvsValencia | 0-1 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+2.8%
Kelly Units
0.83
ANALYSIS
home continuity edge (+0.41); historical analogs lean away (+0.05); home coach stability edge (+1088 days)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul
Liga MX · May 2026
1-2
Away Win
50%26% D24%
CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
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1-0
Home Win
50%25% D25%
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas
Liga MX · May 2026
2-2
Draw
51%25% D24%
RED Star FC 93 vs Rodez
Ligue 1 · May 2026
2-3
Away Win
58%22% D20%
Partick vs Dunfermline
Premiership · May 2026
2-1
Home Win
53%24% D23%