LaLigaSun, May 3 at 6:00 AM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet lost
Celta Vigo
3-1
Elche
51%
our prediction
27%
DRAW
22%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-0)correct
+2% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Lineup watch
PickHome51%
|
H 51%D 27%A 22%
|
xG 1.7-1.1
|
+2.4%on Draw

home continuity edge (+0.72); away defensive availability edge (+0.56); away venue split edge (+0.00)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
1.7
GOALS (A)
1.1
OVER 2.5
54%
BTTS
55%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE0%0%XG1.41.2BTTS52%52%ACCURACY33%63%VALUE WIN%38%0%VALUE ROI-3.31u-8.01uCelta VigoElche
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
-WIN RATE-
0GOALS SCORED0
0GOALS CONCEDED0
1.78AVG XG (HOME)1.28
1.05AVG XG (AWAY)1.09
52%BTTS RATE52%
33%MODEL ACCURACY63%
3/8VALUE BETS0/7
-3.31uVALUE UNIT P&L-8.01u

No fixture news yet.

RECENT FORM
Celta Vigo
2W 1D 2L
Elche
0W 2D 3L
HEAD TO HEAD
Celta VigovsElche3-1
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+2.4%
Kelly Units
0.71
ANALYSIS

home continuity edge (+0.72); away defensive availability edge (+0.56); away venue split edge (+0.00)

SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Switzerland vs Colombia
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Away Win
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Sabah FA vs The New Saints
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49%27% D24%