BuLiSat, May 16 at 7:30 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4-0
1899 Hoffenheim
19%
our prediction
21%
DRAW60%
our prediction
PREDICTIONAway(1-1)— actual: Home
+0% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickAway60%
|H 19%D 21%A 60%
|xG 1.3-2.1
|+0.2%on Draw
historical analogs lean away (+0.35); away Elo edge (+111); away recent xG balance edge (+1.02)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.3
GOALS (A)
2.1
OVER 2.5
66%
BTTS
64%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
9/11/14RECORD (W/D/L)18/7/9
26%WIN RATE53%
42GOALS SCORED65
53GOALS CONCEDED52
1.39AVG XG (HOME)1.74
1.12AVG XG (AWAY)1.91
55%BTTS RATE58%
38%MODEL ACCURACY29%
3/7VALUE BETS2/7
+4.17uVALUE UNIT P&L-0.29u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0W 2D 3L
1899 Hoffenheim
1W 1D 3L
HEAD TO HEAD
| Borussia Mönchengladbachvs1899 Hoffenheim | 4-0 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+0.2%
Kelly Units
0.50
ANALYSIS
historical analogs lean away (+0.35); away Elo edge (+111); away recent xG balance edge (+1.02)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
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