Ligue 1Sun, May 17 at 1:00 PM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Paris FC
2-1
Paris Saint Germain
14%
our prediction
22%
DRAW65%
our prediction
PREDICTIONAway(0-2)— actual: Home
+4% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickAway65%
|H 14%D 22%A 65%
|xG 1.0-2.1
|+3.7%on Away
away continuity edge (+1.00); away Elo edge (+281); historical analogs lean away (+0.17)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.0
GOALS (A)
2.1
OVER 2.5
59%
BTTS
55%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
-WIN RATE-
0GOALS SCORED0
0GOALS CONCEDED0
1.18AVG XG (HOME)2.39
1.28AVG XG (AWAY)1.77
54%BTTS RATE57%
57%MODEL ACCURACY64%
1/7VALUE BETS3/10
-3.22uVALUE UNIT P&L+4.24u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Paris FC
2W 0D 3L
Paris Saint Germain
1W 2D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
| Paris FCvsParis Saint Germain | 2-1 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+3.7%
Kelly Units
1.92
ANALYSIS
away continuity edge (+1.00); away Elo edge (+281); historical analogs lean away (+0.17)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
USA vs Belgium
World Cup · Jul 2026
1-4
Away Win
20%20% D60%
Puebla vs Guadalajara Chivas
Liga MX · Aug 2026
1-1
Draw
19%20% D62%
Motherwell vs Celtic
Premiership · May 2026
2-3
Away Win
18%22% D59%
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy
World Cup - Qualification Europe · Mar 2026
1-1
Draw
16%27% D57%
Scotland vs Ivory Coast
Friendlies · Mar 2026
0-1
Away Win
15%23% D63%