Ligue 1Sun, May 17 at 1:00 PM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet won
Lyon
0-4
Lens
56%
our prediction
21%
DRAW23%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)— actual: Away
+3% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome56%
|H 56%D 21%A 23%
|xG 1.9-1.4
|+2.8%on Away
away shot volume edge (+15.80); away recent xG balance edge (+1.28); home venue split edge (+1.40)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.9
GOALS (A)
1.4
OVER 2.5
64%
BTTS
64%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
-WIN RATE-
0GOALS SCORED0
0GOALS CONCEDED0
1.78AVG XG (HOME)1.91
1.45AVG XG (AWAY)1.71
56%BTTS RATE56%
50%MODEL ACCURACY43%
1/7VALUE BETS3/7
-2.76uVALUE UNIT P&L+1.99u
News pulse
AI briefing around this fixture
Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.
→Mixed / neutral0.001 items
Signal
Match mood→Mixed / neutral0.00
Lyon
→Keyword heuristic fallback.
AI readout
Expense burden falls mainly on New Jersey while FIFA awards New York the top billing
01
Expense burden falls mainly on New Jersey while FIFA awards New York the top billing
02
Keyword heuristic fallback.
Source rail
Updated May 17, 12:02 AMNY and NJ divisions deepen over who is the real WC...
→espn.com · May 16, 8:15 PM
RECENT FORM
Lyon
2W 0D 3L
Lens
2W 2D 1L
HEAD TO HEAD
| LyonvsLens | 0-4 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+2.8%
Kelly Units
0.83
ANALYSIS
away shot volume edge (+15.80); away recent xG balance edge (+1.28); home venue split edge (+1.40)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Tre Fiori vs Larne
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
0-1
Away Win
50%27% D23%
Sabah FA vs The New Saints
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
2-0
Home Win
49%27% D24%
KI Klaksvik vs Atert Bissen
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
2-1
Home Win
48%28% D24%
Kauno Žalgiris vs Drita
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
1-1
Draw
48%27% D24%
Floriana vs Shamrock Rovers
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
2-0
Home Win
49%28% D24%