Lorient vs Le Havre — Rolln Soccer

Ligue 1Sun, May 17 at 1:00 PM

Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost

Lorient

0-2

Le Havre

45%

our prediction

24%

DRAW

32%

our prediction

PREDICTIONHome(1-1)— actual: Away

+9% edgeM · Medium

FORECAST1 snapshot

Matchday read

PickHome45%

H 45%D 24%A 32%

xG 1.5-1.2

+8.9%on Home

away continuity edge (+0.77); historical analogs lean home (+0.38); home Elo edge (+91)

Model prefers Home while the market leans Away; main drivers: away continuity edge (+0.77), historical analogs lean home (+0.38).

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)

1.5

GOALS (A)

1.2

OVER 2.5

50%

BTTS

54%

RADAR COMPARISON

SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS

0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0

-WIN RATE-

0GOALS SCORED0

0GOALS CONCEDED0

1.38AVG XG (HOME)1.42

1.14AVG XG (AWAY)1.12

54%BTTS RATE52%

38%MODEL ACCURACY13%

4/7VALUE BETS2/7

+7.34uVALUE UNIT P&L+0.05u

No fixture news yet.

RECENT FORM

Lorient

3W 1D 1L

Le Havre

2W 3D 0L

HEAD TO HEAD

LorientvsLe Havre

0-2

VALUE BET

Outcome

Home

Edge

+8.9%

Kelly Units

3.28

ANALYSIS

away continuity edge (+0.77); historical analogs lean home (+0.38); home Elo edge (+91)

MARKET DISAGREEMENT

Model prefers Home while the market leans Away; main drivers: away continuity edge (+0.77), historical analogs lean home (+0.38).

SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES

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