Ligue 1Sun, May 17 at 1:00 PM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Lille
0-2
Auxerre
71%
our prediction
20%
DRAW8%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)— actual: Away
+3% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome71%
|H 71%D 20%A 8%
|xG 2.2-1.0
|+3.1%on Home
home recent xG balance edge (+1.74); home Elo edge (+168); home season form edge (+0.91 PPG)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
2.2
GOALS (A)
1.0
OVER 2.5
61%
BTTS
55%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
-WIN RATE-
0GOALS SCORED0
0GOALS CONCEDED0
1.89AVG XG (HOME)1.48
1.46AVG XG (AWAY)0.99
53%BTTS RATE50%
38%MODEL ACCURACY38%
2/7VALUE BETS2/7
+0.21uVALUE UNIT P&L-0.67u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Lille
3W 2D 0L
Auxerre
1W 1D 3L
HEAD TO HEAD
| LillevsAuxerre | 0-2 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Home
Edge
+3.1%
Kelly Units
1.65
ANALYSIS
home recent xG balance edge (+1.74); home Elo edge (+168); home season form edge (+0.91 PPG)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Argentina vs Egypt
World Cup · Jul 2026
3-2
Home Win
70%21% D10%
Kyrgyz Republic U20 vs Afghanistan U20
Friendlies · May 2026
0-0
Draw
68%19% D14%
Cruz Azul vs Atlas
Liga MX · May 2026
1-0
Home Win
71%17% D12%
Almere City FC vs Den Bosch
Eredivisie · May 2026
3-0
Home Win
71%17% D12%
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk
Premiership · May 2026
3-0
Home Win
74%16% D9%