Ligue 1Sun, May 17 at 1:00 PM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Stade Brestois 29
1-1
Angers
58%
our prediction
19%
DRAW
23%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)actual: Draw
+5% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday read
PickHome58%
|
H 58%D 19%A 23%
|
xG 1.6-1.1
|
+5.4%on Home

historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.05); away continuity edge (+0.23); home Elo edge (+44)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
1.6
GOALS (A)
1.1
OVER 2.5
50%
BTTS
52%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE0%0%XG1.21.0BTTS54%52%ACCURACY57%50%VALUE WIN%29%14%VALUE ROI-3.90u-9.00uStade Brestois 29Angers
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
-WIN RATE-
0GOALS SCORED0
0GOALS CONCEDED0
1.32AVG XG (HOME)1.11
1.10AVG XG (AWAY)0.96
54%BTTS RATE52%
57%MODEL ACCURACY50%
2/7VALUE BETS1/7
-3.90uVALUE UNIT P&L-9.00u

No fixture news yet.

RECENT FORM
Stade Brestois 29
1W 2D 2L
Angers
1W 3D 1L
HEAD TO HEAD
Stade Brestois 29vsAngers1-1
VALUE BET
Outcome
Home
Edge
+5.4%
Kelly Units
2.60
ANALYSIS

historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.05); away continuity edge (+0.23); home Elo edge (+44)

SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Tre Fiori vs Larne
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
0-1
Away Win
50%27% D23%
Egypt U19 vs Oman U19
Friendlies · May 2026
2-1
Home Win
58%23% D18%
Saint Etienne vs Rodez
Ligue 1 · May 2026
0-0
Draw
65%15% D20%
Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul
Liga MX · May 2026
1-2
Away Win
50%26% D24%
CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Liga MX · May 2026
1-0
Home Win
50%25% D25%