Ligue 1Sun, May 3 at 7:00 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Lille
1-1
Le Havre
69%
our prediction
21%
DRAW10%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)— actual: Draw
+1% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome69%
|H 69%D 21%A 10%
|xG 2.1-0.9
|+1.1%on Home
home Elo edge (+188); home recent xG balance edge (+1.29); historical analogs lean home (+0.46)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
2.1
GOALS (A)
0.9
OVER 2.5
57%
BTTS
53%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
18/7/9RECORD (W/D/L)7/14/13
53%WIN RATE21%
52GOALS SCORED32
37GOALS CONCEDED44
1.89AVG XG (HOME)1.42
1.46AVG XG (AWAY)1.12
53%BTTS RATE52%
43%MODEL ACCURACY14%
2/6VALUE BETS2/6
+0.72uVALUE UNIT P&L+3.78u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Lille
3W 2D 0L
Le Havre
2W 3D 0L
HEAD TO HEAD
| LillevsLe Havre | 1-1 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Home
Edge
+1.1%
Kelly Units
0.00
ANALYSIS
home Elo edge (+188); home recent xG balance edge (+1.29); historical analogs lean home (+0.46)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Cruz Azul vs Atlas
Liga MX · May 2026
1-0
Home Win
71%17% D12%
Almere City FC vs Den Bosch
Eredivisie · May 2026
3-0
Home Win
71%17% D12%
Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian
Premiership · May 2026
3-1
Home Win
65%18% D17%
Rangers vs Hibernian
Premiership · May 2026
1-2
Away Win
63%22% D15%
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk
Premiership · May 2026
3-0
Home Win
74%16% D9%