EredivisieSun, May 17 at 6:30 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
AZ Alkmaar
3-3
NAC Breda
75%
our prediction
14%
DRAW10%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(2-0)— actual: Draw
+5% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome75%
|H 75%D 14%A 10%
|xG 2.4-0.9
|+4.7%on Home
home venue split edge (+2.40); home recent xG balance edge (+1.63); home Elo edge (+164)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
2.4
GOALS (A)
0.9
OVER 2.5
64%
BTTS
55%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)6/11/17
-WIN RATE18%
0GOALS SCORED35
0GOALS CONCEDED58
1.94AVG XG (HOME)1.23
1.45AVG XG (AWAY)1.17
58%BTTS RATE56%
43%MODEL ACCURACY29%
3/6VALUE BETS1/6
-0.65uVALUE UNIT P&L-4.80u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
AZ Alkmaar
0W 4D 1L
NAC Breda
1W 2D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
| AZ AlkmaarvsNAC Breda | 3-3 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Home
Edge
+4.7%
Kelly Units
3.11
ANALYSIS
home venue split edge (+2.40); home recent xG balance edge (+1.63); home Elo edge (+164)
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