EredivisieSun, May 10 at 8:45 AM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet lost
Twente
4-0
Sparta Rotterdam
71%
our prediction
19%
DRAW10%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)— correct
+2% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome71%
|H 71%D 19%A 10%
|xG 2.2-1.0
|+1.7%on Draw
home venue split edge (+1.80); home Elo edge (+138); historical analogs lean home (+0.43)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
2.2
GOALS (A)
1.0
OVER 2.5
60%
BTTS
55%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
15/13/6RECORD (W/D/L)12/7/15
44%WIN RATE35%
59GOALS SCORED40
40GOALS CONCEDED62
2.13AVG XG (HOME)1.39
1.32AVG XG (AWAY)1.19
57%BTTS RATE56%
40%MODEL ACCURACY67%
2/5VALUE BETS2/5
+2.21uVALUE UNIT P&L-1.66u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Twente
0W 2D 3L
Sparta Rotterdam
2W 1D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
| TwentevsSparta Rotterdam | 4-0 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+1.7%
Kelly Units
0.50
ANALYSIS
home venue split edge (+1.80); home Elo edge (+138); historical analogs lean home (+0.43)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Cruz Azul vs Atlas
Liga MX · May 2026
1-0
Home Win
71%17% D12%
Almere City FC vs Den Bosch
Eredivisie · May 2026
3-0
Home Win
71%17% D12%
Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian
Premiership · May 2026
3-1
Home Win
65%18% D17%
Rangers vs Hibernian
Premiership · May 2026
1-2
Away Win
63%22% D15%
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk
Premiership · May 2026
3-0
Home Win
74%16% D9%