EredivisieSun, May 10 at 8:45 AM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet lost
Twente
4-0
Sparta Rotterdam
71%
our prediction
19%
DRAW10%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)— correct
+2% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome71%
|H 71%D 19%A 10%
|xG 2.2-1.0
|+1.7%on Draw
home venue split edge (+1.80); home Elo edge (+138); historical analogs lean home (+0.43)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
2.2
GOALS (A)
1.0
OVER 2.5
60%
BTTS
55%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
-WIN RATE-
0GOALS SCORED0
0GOALS CONCEDED0
2.13AVG XG (HOME)1.39
1.32AVG XG (AWAY)1.19
57%BTTS RATE56%
50%MODEL ACCURACY57%
3/6VALUE BETS2/6
+8.11uVALUE UNIT P&L-4.04u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Twente
0W 2D 3L
Sparta Rotterdam
2W 1D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
| TwentevsSparta Rotterdam | 4-0 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+1.7%
Kelly Units
0.50
ANALYSIS
home venue split edge (+1.80); home Elo edge (+138); historical analogs lean home (+0.43)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Argentina vs Egypt
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70%21% D10%
Kyrgyz Republic U20 vs Afghanistan U20
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0-0
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68%19% D14%
Cruz Azul vs Atlas
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71%17% D12%
Almere City FC vs Den Bosch
Eredivisie · May 2026
3-0
Home Win
71%17% D12%
Celtic vs Heart Of Midlothian
Premiership · May 2026
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Home Win
65%18% D17%