EredivisieSun, May 10 at 8:45 AM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet lost
Telstar
3-0
Heracles
68%
our prediction
19%
DRAW13%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-0)— correct
+2% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome68%
|H 68%D 19%A 13%
|xG 2.0-1.0
|+2.4%on Draw
home venue split edge (+2.00); historical analogs lean home (+0.55); home Elo edge (+138)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
2.0
GOALS (A)
1.0
OVER 2.5
58%
BTTS
54%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)5/4/25
-WIN RATE15%
0GOALS SCORED35
0GOALS CONCEDED85
1.59AVG XG (HOME)1.17
1.15AVG XG (AWAY)0.98
56%BTTS RATE55%
71%MODEL ACCURACY86%
2/6VALUE BETS0/6
-2.65uVALUE UNIT P&L-6.26u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Telstar
1W 1D 3L
Heracles
3W 0D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
| TelstarvsHeracles | 3-0 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+2.4%
Kelly Units
0.61
ANALYSIS
home venue split edge (+2.00); historical analogs lean home (+0.55); home Elo edge (+138)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Argentina vs Egypt
World Cup · Jul 2026
3-2
Home Win
70%21% D10%
Kyrgyz Republic U20 vs Afghanistan U20
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68%19% D14%
Saint Etienne vs Rodez
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65%15% D20%
Millwall vs Hull City
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0-2
Away Win
65%16% D19%
Cruz Azul vs Atlas
Liga MX · May 2026
1-0
Home Win
71%17% D12%