EredivisieSun, May 10 at 8:45 AM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet won
GO Ahead Eagles
1-4
PSV Eindhoven
14%
our prediction
20%
DRAW66%
our prediction
PREDICTIONAway(1-2)— correct
+8% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickAway66%
|H 14%D 20%A 66%
|xG 1.1-2.1
|+7.5%on Away
away Elo edge (+188); away shot volume edge (+13.80); historical analogs lean away (+0.29)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.1
GOALS (A)
2.1
OVER 2.5
62%
BTTS
58%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
8/14/12RECORD (W/D/L)2/2/4
24%WIN RATE25%
54GOALS SCORED16
53GOALS CONCEDED16
1.38AVG XG (HOME)2.20
1.13AVG XG (AWAY)1.93
58%BTTS RATE58%
33%MODEL ACCURACY83%
2/5VALUE BETS1/5
-2.75uVALUE UNIT P&L+0.86u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
GO Ahead Eagles
1W 3D 1L
PSV Eindhoven
2W 1D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
| GO Ahead EaglesvsPSV Eindhoven | 1-4 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+7.5%
Kelly Units
3.84
ANALYSIS
away Elo edge (+188); away shot volume edge (+13.80); historical analogs lean away (+0.29)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Motherwell vs Celtic
Premiership · May 2026
2-3
Away Win
18%22% D59%
Scotland vs Ivory Coast
Friendlies · Mar 2026
0-1
Away Win
15%23% D63%
Scotland vs Japan
Friendlies · Mar 2026
0-1
Away Win
17%23% D60%
Necaxa vs Guadalajara Chivas
Liga MX · Apr 2026
0-0
Draw
21%19% D60%
Mazatlán vs Toluca
Liga MX · Apr 2026
4-3
Home Win
14%21% D65%