EredivisieSun, May 3 at 6:30 AM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet lost
Fortuna Sittard
1-2
Feyenoord
16%
our prediction
23%
DRAW61%
our prediction
PREDICTIONAway(1-1)— correct
+3% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickAway61%
|H 16%D 23%A 61%
|xG 1.1-1.9
|+3.4%on Draw
historical analogs lean away (+0.39); away Elo edge (+161); away recent xG balance edge (+1.25)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.1
GOALS (A)
1.9
OVER 2.5
58%
BTTS
57%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
11/6/17RECORD (W/D/L)19/8/7
32%WIN RATE56%
49GOALS SCORED70
63GOALS CONCEDED44
1.38AVG XG (HOME)1.93
1.07AVG XG (AWAY)1.74
56%BTTS RATE58%
67%MODEL ACCURACY33%
0/5VALUE BETS3/5
-4.55uVALUE UNIT P&L+2.09u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Fortuna Sittard
1W 1D 3L
Feyenoord
2W 2D 1L
HEAD TO HEAD
| Fortuna SittardvsFeyenoord | 1-2 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+3.4%
Kelly Units
0.91
ANALYSIS
historical analogs lean away (+0.39); away Elo edge (+161); away recent xG balance edge (+1.25)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Atlas vs Cruz Azul
Liga MX · May 2026
2-3
Away Win
20%26% D54%
Motherwell vs Celtic
Premiership · May 2026
2-3
Away Win
18%22% D59%
Kosovo vs Türkiye
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0-1
Away Win
23%21% D57%
Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy
World Cup - Qualification Europe · Mar 2026
1-1
Draw
16%27% D57%
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona
UEFA Champions League · Apr 2026
1-2
Away Win
24%20% D55%