PLFri, May 15 at 1:00 PM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Aston Villa
4-2
Liverpool
31%
our prediction
26%
DRAW
43%
our prediction
PREDICTIONAway(1-1)actual: Home
+3% edgeM · Medium
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday read
PickAway43%
|
H 31%D 26%A 43%
|
xG 1.4-1.6
|
+2.9%on Away

home defensive availability edge (+0.65); away defensive absences higher (+0.59); away travel burden higher (+126 km)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
1.4
GOALS (A)
1.6
OVER 2.5
57%
BTTS
59%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE50%75%XG1.51.6BTTS54%58%ACCURACY14%80%VALUE WIN%0%63%VALUE ROI-8.79u+3.50uAston VillaLiverpool
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
19/8/11RECORD (W/D/L)6/0/2
50%WIN RATE75%
56GOALS SCORED20
49GOALS CONCEDED8
1.52AVG XG (HOME)1.76
1.57AVG XG (AWAY)1.40
54%BTTS RATE58%
14%MODEL ACCURACY80%
0/6VALUE BETS5/8
-8.79uVALUE UNIT P&L+3.50u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

Bearish lean-0.335 items

Signal

Match moodBearish lean-0.33

Aston Villa

Aston Villa secured a positive result against Liverpool, hindering Liverpool's Champions League qualification path.

Liverpool

Mohamed Salah has publicly expressed dissatisfaction with Liverpool's current style of play, suggesting internal criticism and a desire for a tactical change within the club.

AI readout

Mohamed Salah has hit out at Liverpool's style of play, saying the club need to rediscover their "heavy metal" brand of football.

01

Mohamed Salah's comments suggest a perceived need for Liverpool to revert to a 'heavy metal' style of football, implying a desire for a more intense, high-pressing, and direct t...

02

Internal criticism from a key player regarding Liverpool's playing style could indicate potential team discord or a forthcoming tactical adjustment, which might affect team cohe...

03

Liverpool's recent loss to Aston Villa means they will be under increased pressure in their upcoming fixtures to secure Champions League qualification.

Source rail

Updated May 17, 12:02 AM
Open full team read and source list

Aston Villa

Bullish lean+0.20

Aston Villa secured a positive result against Liverpool, hindering Liverpool's Champions League qualification path.

Liverpool

Strong bearish-0.64

Mohamed Salah has publicly expressed dissatisfaction with Liverpool's current style of play, suggesting internal criticism and a desire for a tactical change within the club.

RECENT FORM
Aston Villa
2W 1D 2L
Liverpool
0W 2D 3L
HEAD TO HEAD
Aston VillavsLiverpool4-2
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+2.9%
Kelly Units
1.14
ANALYSIS

home defensive availability edge (+0.65); away defensive absences higher (+0.59); away travel burden higher (+126 km)

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