PLSun, May 10 at 7:00 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Burnley
2-2
Aston Villa
16%
our prediction
21%
DRAW63%
our prediction
PREDICTIONAway(0-1)— actual: Draw
+4% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickAway63%
|H 16%D 21%A 63%
|xG 1.0-2.0
|+3.8%on Away
away recent xG balance edge (+1.70); away Elo edge (+175); historical analogs lean away (+0.29)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.0
GOALS (A)
2.0
OVER 2.5
59%
BTTS
56%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
4/10/24RECORD (W/D/L)19/8/11
11%WIN RATE50%
38GOALS SCORED56
75GOALS CONCEDED49
1.05AVG XG (HOME)1.52
0.86AVG XG (AWAY)1.57
54%BTTS RATE54%
83%MODEL ACCURACY14%
1/5VALUE BETS0/6
-3.91uVALUE UNIT P&L-8.79u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Burnley
1W 2D 2L
Aston Villa
2W 1D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
| BurnleyvsAston Villa | 2-2 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+3.8%
Kelly Units
2.05
ANALYSIS
away recent xG balance edge (+1.70); away Elo edge (+175); historical analogs lean away (+0.29)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
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