Serie ASun, May 17 at 4:00 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Juventus
0-2
Fiorentina
76%
our prediction
17%
DRAW7%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(2-0)— actual: Away
+3% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Lineup watchPickHome76%
|H 76%D 17%A 7%
|xG 2.2-0.8
|+2.8%on Home
historical analogs lean home (+0.67); home Elo edge (+153); home recent xG balance edge (+0.92)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
2.2
GOALS (A)
0.8
OVER 2.5
57%
BTTS
50%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
-WIN RATE-
0GOALS SCORED0
0GOALS CONCEDED0
2.14AVG XG (HOME)1.40
1.54AVG XG (AWAY)1.22
53%BTTS RATE50%
67%MODEL ACCURACY50%
2/7VALUE BETS1/7
-2.94uVALUE UNIT P&L-4.84u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Juventus
2W 3D 0L
Fiorentina
1W 3D 1L
HEAD TO HEAD
| JuventusvsFiorentina | 0-2 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Home
Edge
+2.8%
Kelly Units
2.22
ANALYSIS
historical analogs lean home (+0.67); home Elo edge (+153); home recent xG balance edge (+0.92)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Argentina vs Egypt
World Cup · Jul 2026
3-2
Home Win
70%21% D10%
Cruz Azul vs Atlas
Liga MX · May 2026
1-0
Home Win
71%17% D12%
Almere City FC vs Den Bosch
Eredivisie · May 2026
3-0
Home Win
71%17% D12%
Spain U17 vs Ukraine U17
Friendlies · Apr 2026
4-0
Home Win
83%11% D6%
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk
Premiership · May 2026
3-0
Home Win
74%16% D9%