Serie ASun, May 17 at 12:45 PM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet won
Cagliari
2-1
Torino
45%
our prediction
27%
DRAW28%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-0)— correct
+4% edgeM · Medium
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome45%
|H 45%D 27%A 28%
|xG 1.3-1.1
|+3.5%on Home
historical analogs lean home (+0.46); home shot volume edge (+6.20); away Elo edge (+43)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.3
GOALS (A)
1.1
OVER 2.5
43%
BTTS
49%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
-WIN RATE-
0GOALS SCORED0
0GOALS CONCEDED0
1.26AVG XG (HOME)1.33
0.99AVG XG (AWAY)1.24
51%BTTS RATE51%
63%MODEL ACCURACY75%
2/7VALUE BETS4/7
-2.10uVALUE UNIT P&L-0.14u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Cagliari
2W 1D 2L
Torino
0W 2D 3L
HEAD TO HEAD
| CagliarivsTorino | 2-1 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Home
Edge
+3.5%
Kelly Units
1.34
ANALYSIS
historical analogs lean home (+0.46); home shot volume edge (+6.20); away Elo edge (+43)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Switzerland vs Colombia
World Cup · Jul 2026
0-0
Draw
44%34% D23%
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Gyori ETO FC
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
1-0
Home Win
43%28% D29%
Vardar Skopje vs KuPS
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
0-2
Away Win
44%27% D29%
Tre Fiori vs Larne
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
0-1
Away Win
50%27% D23%
Sabah FA vs The New Saints
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
2-0
Home Win
49%27% D24%