Serie ASun, May 17 at 10:00 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Atalanta
0-1
Bologna
55%
our prediction
26%
DRAW19%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-0)— actual: Away
+3% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome55%
|H 55%D 26%A 19%
|xG 1.7-0.9
|+3.4%on Draw
away venue split edge (+1.40); historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.45); home Elo edge (+72)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.7
GOALS (A)
0.9
OVER 2.5
51%
BTTS
50%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
-WIN RATE-
0GOALS SCORED0
0GOALS CONCEDED0
1.52AVG XG (HOME)1.42
1.48AVG XG (AWAY)1.07
53%BTTS RATE50%
38%MODEL ACCURACY63%
2/7VALUE BETS2/7
+0.48uVALUE UNIT P&L-2.43u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Atalanta
2W 2D 1L
Bologna
3W 2D 0L
HEAD TO HEAD
| AtalantavsBologna | 0-1 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+3.4%
Kelly Units
1.02
ANALYSIS
away venue split edge (+1.40); historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.45); home Elo edge (+72)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Tre Fiori vs Larne
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0-1
Away Win
50%27% D23%
Sabah FA vs The New Saints
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49%27% D24%
KI Klaksvik vs Atert Bissen
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48%28% D24%
Kauno Žalgiris vs Drita
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48%27% D24%
Floriana vs Shamrock Rovers
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Home Win
49%28% D24%