Serie ASun, May 10 at 10:00 AM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet lost
Parma
2-3
AS Roma
18%
our prediction
22%
DRAW60%
our prediction
PREDICTIONAway(1-1)— correct
+4% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickAway60%
|H 18%D 22%A 60%
|xG 1.0-1.9
|+4.2%on Home
away recent xG balance edge (+1.35); historical analogs lean away (+0.21); away Elo edge (+130)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.0
GOALS (A)
1.9
OVER 2.5
55%
BTTS
55%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
11/12/15RECORD (W/D/L)23/4/11
29%WIN RATE61%
28GOALS SCORED59
46GOALS CONCEDED31
1.13AVG XG (HOME)1.79
0.89AVG XG (AWAY)1.40
50%BTTS RATE52%
43%MODEL ACCURACY83%
0/6VALUE BETS1/6
-7.87uVALUE UNIT P&L-5.65u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Parma
1W 0D 4L
AS Roma
3W 0D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
| ParmavsAS Roma | 2-3 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Home
Edge
+4.2%
Kelly Units
1.23
ANALYSIS
away recent xG balance edge (+1.35); historical analogs lean away (+0.21); away Elo edge (+130)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
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