Serie AMon, May 11 at 12:45 PM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Napoli
2-3
Bologna
59%
our prediction
26%
DRAW
15%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-0)actual: Away
+3% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday read
PickHome59%
|
H 59%D 26%A 15%
|
xG 1.8-0.9
|
+2.9%on Draw

home Elo edge (+127); home defensive availability edge (+0.87); historical analogs lean home (+0.36)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
1.8
GOALS (A)
0.9
OVER 2.5
52%
BTTS
50%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE25%42%XG1.61.2BTTS52%50%ACCURACY38%71%VALUE WIN%0%33%VALUE ROI-5.48u-1.41uNapoliBologna
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
2/2/4RECORD (W/D/L)16/8/14
25%WIN RATE42%
9GOALS SCORED49
15GOALS CONCEDED46
1.70AVG XG (HOME)1.42
1.59AVG XG (AWAY)1.07
52%BTTS RATE50%
38%MODEL ACCURACY71%
0/6VALUE BETS2/6
-5.48uVALUE UNIT P&L-1.41u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

Mixed / neutral0.002 items

Signal

Match moodMixed / neutral0.00

Napoli

Napoli suffered a 3-2 loss to Bologna, conceding a late goal, which negatively impacts their standing in the Serie A top-four race.

Bologna

Bologna achieved a 3-2 win against Napoli, scoring a stoppage-time goal, which is a strong positive outcome for their Serie A campaign.

AI readout

A stoppage time goal from Jonathan Rowe gave Bologna a 3-2 win against Napoli in a pulsating Serie A encounter on Monday that leaves the race for the top four in Italy extremely tight.

01

The provided article details a Serie A match where Bologna secured a 3-2 victory against Napoli with a stoppage-time goal.

02

This result tightens the race for the top four in Italy.

03

The article does not contain information relevant to MLS soccer news or fixtures.

Source rail

Updated May 13, 11:48 PM
RECENT FORM
Napoli
2W 1D 2L
Bologna
3W 2D 0L
HEAD TO HEAD
NapolivsBologna2-3
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+2.9%
Kelly Units
0.95
ANALYSIS

home Elo edge (+127); home defensive availability edge (+0.87); historical analogs lean home (+0.36)

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