Serie ASun, May 10 at 12:45 PM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet won
AC Milan
2-3
Atalanta
42%
our prediction
29%
DRAW29%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)— actual: Away
+2% edgeM · Medium
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome42%
|H 42%D 29%A 29%
|xG 1.5-1.2
|+2.4%on Away
away travel burden higher (+8760 km); away recent xG balance edge (+0.95); away shot volume edge (+7.20)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.5
GOALS (A)
1.2
OVER 2.5
51%
BTTS
55%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
20/10/8RECORD (W/D/L)4/1/3
53%WIN RATE50%
53GOALS SCORED10
35GOALS CONCEDED10
1.72AVG XG (HOME)1.52
1.51AVG XG (AWAY)1.48
53%BTTS RATE53%
38%MODEL ACCURACY43%
1/6VALUE BETS3/6
-5.90uVALUE UNIT P&L+2.70u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
AC Milan
3W 1D 1L
Atalanta
2W 2D 1L
HEAD TO HEAD
| AC MilanvsAtalanta | 2-3 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+2.4%
Kelly Units
0.79
ANALYSIS
away travel burden higher (+8760 km); away recent xG balance edge (+0.95); away shot volume edge (+7.20)
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