Serie ASat, May 9 at 10:00 AM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet won
Lazio
0-3
Inter
21%
our prediction
23%
DRAW
56%
our prediction
PREDICTIONAway(1-1)correct
+5% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday read
PickAway56%
|
H 21%D 23%A 56%
|
xG 1.1-1.7
|
+4.7%on Away

away travel burden higher (+9623 km); away Elo edge (+153); historical analogs lean away (+0.11)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
1.1
GOALS (A)
1.7
OVER 2.5
53%
BTTS
55%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE37%63%XG1.22.0BTTS50%54%ACCURACY57%86%VALUE WIN%33%33%VALUE ROI+5.84u-0.63uLazioInter
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
14/12/12RECORD (W/D/L)5/0/3
37%WIN RATE63%
41GOALS SCORED15
40GOALS CONCEDED7
1.35AVG XG (HOME)2.27
1.10AVG XG (AWAY)1.65
50%BTTS RATE54%
57%MODEL ACCURACY86%
2/6VALUE BETS2/6
+5.84uVALUE UNIT P&L-0.63u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

Mixed / neutral-0.028 items

Signal

Match moodMixed / neutral-0.02

Lazio

Lazio suffered a 3-0 defeat at home to Inter, playing with 10 men.

Inter

Keyword heuristic fallback.

AI readout

Fofana, Gill, & Mitrović named to MLS Team of the Matchday 12 prostinternational.com

01

Fofana, Gill, and Mitrović were recognized for their strong performances by being named to the MLS Team of the Matchday 12.

02

I

03

n

Open full team read and source list

Lazio

Bearish lean-0.30

Lazio suffered a 3-0 defeat at home to Inter, playing with 10 men.

Inter

Mixed / neutral+0.11

Keyword heuristic fallback.

RECENT FORM
Lazio
2W 1D 2L
Inter
1W 3D 1L
HEAD TO HEAD
LaziovsInter0-3
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+4.7%
Kelly Units
2.26
ANALYSIS

away travel burden higher (+9623 km); away Elo edge (+153); historical analogs lean away (+0.11)

SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Atlas vs Cruz Azul
Liga MX · May 2026
2-3
Away Win
20%26% D54%
Falkirk vs Rangers
Premiership · May 2026
2-5
Away Win
25%21% D54%
Motherwell vs Celtic
Premiership · May 2026
2-3
Away Win
18%22% D59%
Hibernian vs Celtic
Premiership · May 2026
1-2
Away Win
23%25% D52%
Kosovo vs Türkiye
World Cup - Qualification Europe · Mar 2026
0-1
Away Win
23%21% D57%