Serie ASun, May 10 at 7:00 AM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet lost
Cremonese
3-0
Pisa
52%
our prediction
24%
DRAW24%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-0)— correct
+5% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome52%
|H 52%D 24%A 24%
|xG 1.6-1.1
|+5.1%on Away
historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.05); away travel burden higher (+161 km); away shot volume edge (+4.20)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.6
GOALS (A)
1.1
OVER 2.5
52%
BTTS
54%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
8/10/20RECORD (W/D/L)2/12/24
21%WIN RATE5%
32GOALS SCORED26
57GOALS CONCEDED71
1.25AVG XG (HOME)1.13
1.01AVG XG (AWAY)0.99
51%BTTS RATE52%
75%MODEL ACCURACY100%
3/7VALUE BETS2/7
+3.57uVALUE UNIT P&L+0.45u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Cremonese
3W 0D 2L
Pisa
2W 0D 3L
HEAD TO HEAD
| CremonesevsPisa | 3-0 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+5.1%
Kelly Units
1.54
ANALYSIS
historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.05); away travel burden higher (+161 km); away shot volume edge (+4.20)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Tre Fiori vs Larne
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
0-1
Away Win
50%27% D23%
Sabah FA vs The New Saints
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
2-0
Home Win
49%27% D24%
KI Klaksvik vs Atert Bissen
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
2-1
Home Win
48%28% D24%
Kauno Žalgiris vs Drita
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
1-1
Draw
48%27% D24%
Floriana vs Shamrock Rovers
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
2-0
Home Win
49%28% D24%