Serie ASat, May 9 at 7:00 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet won
Cagliari
0-2
Udinese
36%
our prediction
29%
DRAW
34%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)actual: Away
+2% edgeL · Low
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday read
PickHome36%
|
H 36%D 29%A 34%
|
xG 1.3-1.2
|
+1.8%on Away

away venue split edge (+0.20); away Elo edge (+57); away continuity edge (+0.15)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
1.3
GOALS (A)
1.2
OVER 2.5
45%
BTTS
50%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE0%0%XG1.11.1BTTS51%50%ACCURACY63%13%VALUE WIN%29%43%VALUE ROI-2.10u-5.02uCagliariUdinese
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
-WIN RATE-
0GOALS SCORED0
0GOALS CONCEDED0
1.26AVG XG (HOME)1.25
0.99AVG XG (AWAY)0.99
51%BTTS RATE50%
63%MODEL ACCURACY13%
2/7VALUE BETS3/7
-2.10uVALUE UNIT P&L-5.02u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

Bearish lean-0.302 items

Signal

Match moodBearish lean-0.30

Cagliari

A Cagliari player, Alberto Dossena, has been accused of racist abuse, which is a serious negative incident reflecting poorly on the player and the club.

Udinese

An Udinese player, Keinan Davis, is the alleged victim of racist abuse.

AI readout

Udinese forward Keinan Davis has accused Cagliari defender Alberto Dossena of calling him a "monkey" during Saturday's Serie A match.

01

Udinese forward Keinan Davis has accused Cagliari defender Alberto Dossena of calling him a "monkey" during Saturday's Serie A match.

02

The article reports on an alleged racist slur by Cagliari defender Alberto Dossena against Udinese forward Keinan Davis during a Serie A match.

03

This incident, while involving teams with names matching those in the context, occurred in Serie A and is therefore not relevant for MLS fixture modeling.

Source rail

Updated May 11, 11:46 PM
RECENT FORM
Cagliari
2W 1D 2L
Udinese
2W 1D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
CagliarivsUdinese0-2
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+1.8%
Kelly Units
0.50
ANALYSIS

away venue split edge (+0.20); away Elo edge (+57); away continuity edge (+0.15)

SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Gyori ETO FC
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
1-0
Home Win
43%28% D29%
Vardar Skopje vs KuPS
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
0-2
Away Win
44%27% D29%
Lincoln Red Imps FC vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
3-1
Home Win
40%27% D33%
Borac Banja Luka vs Levski Sofia
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
1-1
Draw
43%28% D29%
Atletico San Luis vs Club Tijuana
Liga MX · Aug 2026
0-0
Draw
37%29% D33%