Serie ASat, May 2 at 7:00 AM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet won
Udinese
2-0
Torino
42%
our prediction
30%
DRAW
29%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)correct
+0% edgeM · Medium
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday read
PickHome42%
|
H 42%D 30%A 29%
|
xG 1.3-1.1
|
+0.3%on Home

home continuity edge (+0.25); away recent xG balance edge (+0.71); historical analogs lean home (+0.29)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
1.3
GOALS (A)
1.1
OVER 2.5
43%
BTTS
49%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE37%32%XG1.11.3BTTS50%51%ACCURACY14%71%VALUE WIN%33%50%VALUE ROI-7.20u-2.01uUdineseTorino
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
14/8/16RECORD (W/D/L)12/9/17
37%WIN RATE32%
45GOALS SCORED44
48GOALS CONCEDED63
1.25AVG XG (HOME)1.33
0.99AVG XG (AWAY)1.24
50%BTTS RATE51%
14%MODEL ACCURACY71%
2/6VALUE BETS3/6
-7.20uVALUE UNIT P&L-2.01u

No fixture news yet.

RECENT FORM
Udinese
2W 1D 2L
Torino
0W 2D 3L
HEAD TO HEAD
UdinesevsTorino2-0
VALUE BET
Outcome
Home
Edge
+0.3%
Kelly Units
0.00
ANALYSIS

home continuity edge (+0.25); away recent xG balance edge (+0.71); historical analogs lean home (+0.29)

SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Turkey U18 vs Hungary U18
Friendlies · May 2026
2-1
Home Win
34%31% D35%
Dunfermline vs Partick
Premiership · May 2026
1-1
Draw
36%29% D35%
Southampton vs Middlesbrough
Championship · May 2026
2-1
Home Win
47%23% D30%
Middlesbrough vs Southampton
Championship · May 2026
0-0
Draw
45%29% D27%
Almere City FC vs De Graafschap
Eredivisie · May 2026
3-1
Home Win
43%24% D33%