Serie AMon, May 4 at 12:45 PM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet lost
AS Roma
4-0
Fiorentina
53%
our prediction
29%
DRAW18%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-1)— correct
+6% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday readPickHome53%
|H 53%D 29%A 18%
|xG 1.8-1.0
|+6.1%on Draw
home Elo edge (+90); home season form edge (+0.71 PPG); home shot volume edge (+4.00)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.8
GOALS (A)
1.0
OVER 2.5
52%
BTTS
51%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
23/4/11RECORD (W/D/L)9/15/14
61%WIN RATE24%
59GOALS SCORED41
31GOALS CONCEDED50
1.79AVG XG (HOME)1.40
1.40AVG XG (AWAY)1.22
52%BTTS RATE50%
83%MODEL ACCURACY57%
1/6VALUE BETS1/6
-5.65uVALUE UNIT P&L-2.62u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
AS Roma
3W 0D 2L
Fiorentina
1W 3D 1L
HEAD TO HEAD
| AS RomavsFiorentina | 4-0 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+6.1%
Kelly Units
1.93
ANALYSIS
home Elo edge (+90); home season form edge (+0.71 PPG); home shot volume edge (+4.00)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
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