Serie ASun, May 3 at 4:30 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Bologna
0-0
Cagliari
47%
our prediction
29%
DRAW24%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-0)— actual: Draw
+3% edgeM · Medium
FORECAST1 snapshot
Lineup watchPickHome47%
|H 47%D 29%A 24%
|xG 1.5-1.0
|+3.5%on Away
home Elo edge (+63); home shot volume edge (+4.00); historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.11)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.5
GOALS (A)
1.0
OVER 2.5
46%
BTTS
50%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
-WIN RATE-
0GOALS SCORED0
0GOALS CONCEDED0
1.42AVG XG (HOME)1.26
1.07AVG XG (AWAY)0.99
50%BTTS RATE51%
63%MODEL ACCURACY63%
2/7VALUE BETS2/7
-2.43uVALUE UNIT P&L-2.10u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Bologna
3W 2D 0L
Cagliari
2W 1D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
| BolognavsCagliari | 0-0 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+3.5%
Kelly Units
0.99
ANALYSIS
home Elo edge (+63); home shot volume edge (+4.00); historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.11)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Switzerland vs Colombia
World Cup · Jul 2026
0-0
Draw
44%34% D23%
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Gyori ETO FC
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
1-0
Home Win
43%28% D29%
Vardar Skopje vs KuPS
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
0-2
Away Win
44%27% D29%
Tre Fiori vs Larne
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
0-1
Away Win
50%27% D23%
Sabah FA vs The New Saints
UEFA Champions League · Jul 2026
2-0
Home Win
49%27% D24%