Serie ASun, May 3 at 4:30 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Bologna
0-0
Cagliari
47%
our prediction
29%
DRAW24%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-0)— actual: Draw
+3% edgeM · Medium
FORECAST1 snapshot
Lineup watchPickHome47%
|H 47%D 29%A 24%
|xG 1.5-1.0
|+3.5%on Away
home Elo edge (+63); home shot volume edge (+4.00); historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.11)
First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.
GOALS (H)
1.5
GOALS (A)
1.0
OVER 2.5
46%
BTTS
50%
RADAR COMPARISON
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
16/8/14RECORD (W/D/L)11/10/17
42%WIN RATE29%
49GOALS SCORED40
46GOALS CONCEDED53
1.42AVG XG (HOME)1.26
1.07AVG XG (AWAY)0.99
50%BTTS RATE51%
71%MODEL ACCURACY57%
2/6VALUE BETS1/6
-1.41uVALUE UNIT P&L-3.97u
No fixture news yet.
RECENT FORM
Bologna
3W 2D 0L
Cagliari
2W 1D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
| BolognavsCagliari | 0-0 |
VALUE BET
Outcome
Away
Edge
+3.5%
Kelly Units
0.99
ANALYSIS
home Elo edge (+63); home shot volume edge (+4.00); historical analogs point to a decisive result (+0.11)
SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
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