Serie AMon, Apr 27 at 10:30 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Cagliari
3-2
Atalanta
20%
our prediction
26%
DRAW
54%
our prediction
PREDICTIONAway(1-1)actual: Home
+1% edgeH · High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday read
PickAway54%
|
H 20%D 26%A 54%
|
xG 1.1-1.7
|
+1.3%on Draw

away Elo edge (+171); historical analogs still point to a decisive result (+0.01); historical analogs lean away (+0.14)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
1.1
GOALS (A)
1.7
OVER 2.5
53%
BTTS
54%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE29%50%XG1.11.5BTTS51%53%ACCURACY57%43%VALUE WIN%17%50%VALUE ROI-3.97u+2.70uCagliariAtalanta
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
11/10/17RECORD (W/D/L)4/1/3
29%WIN RATE50%
40GOALS SCORED10
53GOALS CONCEDED10
1.26AVG XG (HOME)1.52
0.99AVG XG (AWAY)1.48
51%BTTS RATE53%
57%MODEL ACCURACY43%
1/6VALUE BETS3/6
-3.97uVALUE UNIT P&L+2.70u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

Mixed / neutral+0.082 items

Signal

Match moodMixed / neutral+0.08

Cagliari

Cagliari secured a vital 3-2 win, with a young player scoring twice on his debut, boosting team morale and performance.

Atalanta

Atalanta suffered a 3-2 defeat, conceding an early goal and failing to secure points.

AI readout

Senegalese teenager Paul Mendy scored twice in his first start for Cagliari, including the opener after 16 seconds, to put the home side on its way to a vital 3-2 win over Atalanta in Serie A on Monday. It was a dream full debut for the 19-year-old, who joine…

01

This article details a Serie A match between Cagliari and Atalanta.

02

Cagliari are fighting for safety, while Atalanta are pursuing European qualification, indicating high motivation for both teams.

03

Cagliari secured a vital 3-2 win, with a young player scoring twice on his debut, boosting team morale and performance.

Source rail

Updated Apr 29, 11:50 PM

Cagliari cling to safety as Atalanta chase Europe

sportmonks · Apr 25, 11:04 AM

RECENT FORM
Cagliari
2W 1D 2L
Atalanta
2W 2D 1L
HEAD TO HEAD
CagliarivsAtalanta3-2
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+1.3%
Kelly Units
0.50
ANALYSIS

away Elo edge (+171); historical analogs still point to a decisive result (+0.01); historical analogs lean away (+0.14)

SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Atlas vs Cruz Azul
Liga MX · May 2026
2-3
Away Win
20%26% D54%
Falkirk vs Rangers
Premiership · May 2026
2-5
Away Win
25%21% D54%
Motherwell vs Celtic
Premiership · May 2026
2-3
Away Win
18%22% D59%
Hibernian vs Celtic
Premiership · May 2026
1-2
Away Win
23%25% D52%
Kosovo vs Türkiye
World Cup - Qualification Europe · Mar 2026
0-1
Away Win
23%21% D57%