Serie ASat, Apr 18 at 7:00 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Udinese
0-1
Parma
35%
our prediction
41%
DRAW
24%
our prediction
PREDICTIONDraw(1-1)actual: Away
+9% edgeM · Medium
FORECAST1 snapshot
Lineup watch
PickDraw41%
|
H 35%D 41%A 24%
|
xG 1.3-1.0
|
+9.3%on Draw

historical analogs still point to a decisive result (+0.07); home continuity edge (+0.33); away venue split edge (+0.20)

Model prefers Draw while the market leans Home; main drivers: historical analogs still point to a decisive result (+0.07), home continuity edge (+0.33).

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
1.3
GOALS (A)
1.0
OVER 2.5
40%
BTTS
46%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE37%29%XG1.11.0BTTS50%50%ACCURACY14%43%VALUE WIN%33%0%VALUE ROI-7.20u-7.87uUdineseParma
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
14/8/16RECORD (W/D/L)11/12/15
37%WIN RATE29%
45GOALS SCORED28
48GOALS CONCEDED46
1.25AVG XG (HOME)1.13
0.99AVG XG (AWAY)0.89
50%BTTS RATE50%
14%MODEL ACCURACY43%
2/6VALUE BETS0/6
-7.20uVALUE UNIT P&L-7.87u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

Mixed / neutral0.002 items

Signal

Match moodMixed / neutral0.00

Udinese

Udinese received a 'Blow' at home, indicating a loss and negative performance.

Parma

Parma 'Delivers Blow' to Udinese, indicating a victory and positive performance.

AI readout

Parma Delivers Blow to Udinese in Home Showdown

01

Parma's recent victory over Udinese, especially away from home, suggests a positive momentum for Parma.

02

Udinese Calcio take on Parma in weekend clash.

03

Udinese received a 'Blow' at home, indicating a loss and negative performance.

Source rail

Updated Apr 21, 12:09 AM

Parma Delivers Blow to Udinese in Home Showdown

sportmonks · Apr 18, 3:30 PM

Udinese Calcio take on Parma in weekend clash.

sportmonks · Apr 16, 10:07 PM

RECENT FORM
Udinese
2W 1D 2L
Parma
1W 0D 4L
HEAD TO HEAD
UdinesevsParma0-1
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+9.3%
Kelly Units
3.34
ANALYSIS

historical analogs still point to a decisive result (+0.07); home continuity edge (+0.33); away venue split edge (+0.20)

MARKET DISAGREEMENT

Model prefers Draw while the market leans Home; main drivers: historical analogs still point to a decisive result (+0.07), home continuity edge (+0.33).

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