Serie ASat, Apr 18 at 10:00 AM
Full timePrediction missedValue bet lost
Napoli
0-2
Lazio
62%
our prediction
24%
DRAW
13%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-0)actual: Away
+0% edgeVH · Very High
FORECAST1 snapshot
Matchday read
PickHome62%
|
H 62%D 24%A 13%
|
xG 1.9-1.0
|
+0.3%on Draw

home shot volume edge (+8.40); home venue split edge (+1.60); home Elo edge (+103)

First reading — sparklines appear as the model re-evaluates closer to kickoff.

GOALS (H)
1.9
GOALS (A)
1.0
OVER 2.5
54%
BTTS
52%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE0%0%XG1.61.2BTTS52%50%ACCURACY44%63%VALUE WIN%0%29%VALUE ROI-9.86u+5.27uNapoliLazio
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
0/0/0RECORD (W/D/L)0/0/0
-WIN RATE-
0GOALS SCORED0
0GOALS CONCEDED0
1.70AVG XG (HOME)1.35
1.59AVG XG (AWAY)1.10
52%BTTS RATE50%
44%MODEL ACCURACY63%
0/7VALUE BETS2/7
-9.86uVALUE UNIT P&L+5.27u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

Mixed / neutral+0.074 items

Signal

Match moodMixed / neutral+0.07

Napoli

Suffered a loss and failed to score any goals.

Lazio

Lazio secured a strong 2-0 away victory against Napoli, a positive result for the team.

AI readout

Napoli was jeered off the field after it lost 2-0 at home to Lazio -- a result that saw Inter Milan take a huge step toward winning the Serie A title.

01

Napoli was jeered off the field after it lost 2-0 at home to Lazio -- a result that saw Inter Milan take a huge step toward winning the Serie A title.

02

Lazio secured a solid victory against Napoli, who failed to score in the match.

03

{'team_name': 'Lazio', 'insight': "Lazio's attack was effective, scoring two goals and creating further opportunities, suggesting good offensive form.

Source rail

Updated Apr 21, 12:09 AM

Solid Victory for Lazio as Napoli Fails to Score

sportmonks · Apr 18, 3:30 PM

Title-chasing Napoli make return against Lazio

sportmonks · Apr 16, 10:07 PM

RECENT FORM
Napoli
2W 1D 2L
Lazio
2W 1D 2L
HEAD TO HEAD
NapolivsLazio0-2
VALUE BET
Outcome
Draw
Edge
+0.3%
Kelly Units
0.50
ANALYSIS

home shot volume edge (+8.40); home venue split edge (+1.60); home Elo edge (+103)

SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Argentina vs Egypt
World Cup · Jul 2026
3-2
Home Win
70%21% D10%
Egypt U19 vs Oman U19
Friendlies · May 2026
2-1
Home Win
58%23% D18%
Kyrgyz Republic U20 vs Afghanistan U20
Friendlies · May 2026
0-0
Draw
68%19% D14%
RED Star FC 93 vs Rodez
Ligue 1 · May 2026
2-3
Away Win
58%22% D20%
Toluca vs CF Pachuca
Liga MX · May 2026
0-1
Away Win
55%25% D20%