Serie ASat, Apr 11 at 7:00 AM
Full timePrediction correctValue bet won
Torino
2-1
Hellas Verona
53%
our prediction
25%
DRAW
22%
our prediction
PREDICTIONHome(1-0)correct
+4% edgeH · High
FORECAST TIMELINE
2 snapshotsLineup watch
53%
on Home+0 since opening
H-1
D+0
A+1

home Elo edge (+117); historical analogs lean home (+0.42); home venue split edge (+1.20)

GOALS (H)
1.4
GOALS (A)
1.0
OVER 2.5
44%
BTTS
48%
RADAR COMPARISON
WIN RATE32%8%XG1.31.0BTTS51%51%ACCURACY71%71%VALUE WIN%50%17%VALUE ROI-2.01u-2.29uTorinoHellas Verona
SIDE-BY-SIDE STATS
12/9/17RECORD (W/D/L)3/12/23
32%WIN RATE8%
44GOALS SCORED25
63GOALS CONCEDED61
1.33AVG XG (HOME)1.07
1.24AVG XG (AWAY)0.90
51%BTTS RATE51%
71%MODEL ACCURACY71%
3/6VALUE BETS1/6
-2.01uVALUE UNIT P&L-2.29u

News pulse

AI briefing around this fixture

Sentiment runs from -1 bearish to +1 bullish. Values near 0 mean the reporting is mixed or the signal is still weak.

Mixed / neutral-0.102 items

Signal

Match moodMixed / neutral-0.10

Torino

Torino secured a home win with key contributions from Cesare Casadei and Giovanni Simeone, indicating a strong positive performance.

Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona lost an away game against Torino, indicating a negative outcome for the team.

AI readout

Cesare Casadei and Giovanni Simeone play pivotal roles in home win against Hellas Verona

01

T

02

o

03

r

Source rail

Updated Apr 14, 12:54 AM

Cesare Casadei and Giovanni Simeone play pivotal roles in home win against Hellas Verona

sportmonks · Apr 11, 9:34 PM

Torino face relegation-threatened Hellas Verona in weekend clash.

sportmonks · Apr 9, 2:58 PM

RECENT FORM
Torino
0W 2D 3L
Hellas Verona
2W 3D 0L
HEAD TO HEAD
TorinovsHellas Verona2-1
VALUE BET
Outcome
Home
Edge
+3.7%
Kelly Units
1.56
ANALYSIS

home Elo edge (+117); historical analogs lean home (+0.42); home venue split edge (+1.20)

SIMILAR PAST FIXTURES
Resolved matches with comparable probability profiles
Guadalajara Chivas vs Cruz Azul
Liga MX · May 2026
1-2
Away Win
50%26% D24%
CF Pachuca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Liga MX · May 2026
1-0
Home Win
50%25% D25%
Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Chivas
Liga MX · May 2026
2-2
Draw
51%25% D24%
RED Star FC 93 vs Rodez
Ligue 1 · May 2026
2-3
Away Win
58%22% D20%
Partick vs Dunfermline
Premiership · May 2026
2-1
Home Win
53%24% D23%